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Thursday, May 10, 2012

NBA picks against the spread

Bulls (+3.5) at Sixers- The Sixer's are favored in this game by 3 1/2 points. This is a really tough call. The Bulls played well at home in there game 5 win, but do they have enough offense to win this game in Philly? The Sixers where shut down in game 5 by the Bulls suffocating defense, but they have played better at home in this series and throughout the season(21-14 at home including playoffs). The Sixers are 3-2 against the spread in this series. Joahkim Noah is a gametime decision for the Bulls.
The Pick: Philadephia 83-Chicago 78. The Bulls will not go down without a fight in this game, but look for the Sixers to hit some of the open shots at home that they missed in Chi-town in game 5. This is the 76ers best chance to close out this series. Coach Doug Collins will have his squad ready
OVER/UNDER is 170- The Under has hit the last three games. This is the lowest projected total for the series yet. I would take the under, as I don't think either team has the firepower to run away from the other. Neither team, is looking to get into a fast paced game.

Hawks(+7) at Celtics- Atlanta needs a win to extend this series to seven games. Boston needs a win to close out Atlanta at home and get some much needed rest, for its veteran laden team. The Celtics are 11-3-1 against the spread in there last 15 home games. Boston is 3-2 against the spread in this series, 1-1 at home. Al Horford is starting again for Atlanta and he made a huge difference in there game 5 win at home, but this Celtics team knows how to close out series at home.
The Pick: Celtics 89- Hawks 78- The Celtics do not want to fly back to Atlanta for a game 7, and there defense has led to Atlanta shooting only 40% from the floor. This is the last run for this Celtics group and they will come out hot.
OVER/UNDER is 174-The under has hit in three of the five games so far. I would take the under in this game as well. The Celtics defense is phenomenal, but they have trouble scoring at times. Atlanta has yet to score more than 87 points in a single game this series.

Lakers(+2) at Nuggets- LA is a slight underdog according to Vegas. I do not see this Denver team forcing a game 7 in this series, which they would do with a win. The Nuggets are too young to be favored over this veteran Laker team. Kobe has the flu, but do you really think he is sitting this game out? I think he has a huge game for the Lakers. Andrew Bynum will also have a big game for the Lakers, after he let Javalle McGee get the bettter of him in game 5. The Lakers need this game to get some rest before there series with the Thunder, who haven't played for 4 days already, and are resting at home.
The Pick-LA 102-Denver 96-Kobe wills this squad to victory, despite his illness. Take this bet. The Nuggets survived game 5, because the Lakers took them lightly. This will not happen in game 6. Bynum and Gasol will control the paint, and the Lakers will advance.
OVER/UNDER-197-This is tough, both of these teams can score 100 points on any given night, but I would take the under. I think the Lakers will control the pace of play in this game more than they have in this series so far, and they like to play a slower game than the run n gun Nuggets.

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